Small trucking companies see federal loans as bridge to better days

Jimmy NevarezTrucking companies have different takes on seeking Small Business Administration loans. Some would prefer financial help go to those that most need it.

Small trucking companies see federal loans as bridge to better days

Alan Adler FreightWaves 2020 04 02

Jimmy Nevarez

The opportunity to borrow federal money that may convert to a grant is enticing for small trucking companies, but some would rather see it go to those that most need it.

“At the present time, it’s not something we absolutely need to get by,” Jimmy Nevarez, owner of Angus Transportation Inc., told FreightWaves on Wednesday. “That’s why I’ve been on the fence about applying. I’d like to be able to save the money for people who are being impacted more.”

Small to medium-size trucking companies and owner-operators are among businesses eligible to apply for Small Business Administration (SBA) loans created through the Coronavirus Aid, Relief, and Economic Security (CARES) Act.

Loan forgiveness

In some cases, the loans could be forgiven if employers retain their workers during the economic downturn caused by the pandemic.

Details of the SBA program are still being finalized, but it has several provisions that could make it “free money,” according to Randy Hooper, a partner with Katz, Sapper & Miller, a certified public accounting and tax firm.

“It allows companies with less than 500 employees to get a loan from the government that’s based on 2½ months of their payroll,” Hooper told FreightWaves. “Then, in theory, if you go through this analysis on your [full-time equivalent employees] compared to some prior period, then that loan, at least in part if not fully, will be forgiven.”

In addition to covering payroll, borrowing can be used for rent, mortgage, interest and utilities. Hooper has 22 trucking company clients ranging in annual revenue from $25 million to $600 million. Each has called him inquiring about the loan program.

“The ones that are over 500 [employees] have asked what can they do to try to be a part of it, and everyone under 500 across the board has said, ‘Yeah, we want to make sure that we take advantage of it,’” Hooper said.

Independent operators

Owner-operators previously had no access to SBA money. That changed with the CARES Act.

“That is one of the significant changes,” said Prasad Sharma, a partner with the Scopelitis Garvin Light Hanson & Feary transportation law firm. “When you dig into the language, Congress did expand it to cover independent operators.”

Nevarez said that could help two owner-operators he contracts with to haul bottled water and styrofoam food containers from Southern California to Las Vegas. Phelan, California-based Angus also transports PECO Pallets to Bakersfield, California, and Las Vegas.

“No matter what, all small businesses are going to be impacted,” he said.

Stephen Halsted and Sandy Goche, who operate a two-person expedited trucking company based in southern Ohio, applied for a loan because they are refusing loads destined for coronavirus hot spots. Halsted said they have turned down “five or six” loads since last Friday.

“Our safety is the most important thing,” Halsted told FreightWaves.

Bigger firms waiting

The 500-employee limit for loans is standard for SBA loans, Hooper said. As soon as next week, the U.S. Treasury may expand eligibility to companies with more employees.

With 520 employees, Nussbaum Transportation Services Inc. is just over the current application threshold. CEO Brent Nussbaum said the company does not need a loan. If that changes, he would likely tap its banking relationships.

Like Nevarez, Nussbaum would prefer loan money go to financially strapped trucking companies.

“The money ultimately ought to go to those that need it. There is such a huge need. I don’t want to take advantage of federal government money that I don’t need,” Nussbaum said. “It’s debt this country can’t afford in the first place.”

So far, load volumes are holding up from Nussbaum’s largest customers, including Caterpillar and Case New Holland industrial equipment, several major tiremakers, and Pella Windows. All but eight of his 410 drivers are working. Nussbaum said that could change in the next few weeks as the supply chain develops more kinks, but he prefers a different focus.

“What kind of a positive message can we send to the people?” Nussbaum asked. “Can we focus on an upturn? It’s going to come back. We’ll survive and we’ll all come out of it better than we went into it.”

Paper Transport Inc. in De Pere, Wisconsin, hauls that most precious commodity — toilet paper — among its loads. Business is strong for all of the consumer products it hauls.

“As of right now, we’re able to keep everybody,” PTI President Jeff Shefchik told FreightWaves of his 1,100 employees. “We’re not sitting around waiting for the government to do anything. As of right now, we don’t need a bailout.”

Nontrucking needs

Stay Metrics, which conducts driver retention surveys and consults trucking firms, sees the loans as a bridge to the industry’s recovery.

“I lost six customers in three hours last Monday,” said Tim Hindes, Stay Metrics co-founder and CEO. “In a normal economy, we only have 12% customer churn annually.”

An SBA loan will prevent Hindes from laying off any of his two dozen employees.

“What that means for us is I can take a loan out to pay for my labor costs while I’m building up my business to the point it was before,” Hindes said. “Even when the pandemic passes, I should still have cash available. I think that was the design of that program, which was really smart. We see ourselves coming out the other end of this very bright.”

https://www.freightwaves.com/news/small-trucking-companies-see-federal-loans-as-bridge-to-better-days

Everything you need to know about securing an Arkansas oversized permit

Arkansas is home to six national park sites, 2.5 million acres of national forests, seven national scenic byways, three state scenic byways and 50 state parks. But to drive an oversized load through The Natural State, you’ll need to secure an Arkansas oversized permit. At The Permit Company, we help you obtain oversize and overweight…

The post Everything you need to know about securing an Arkansas oversized permit appeared first on The Permit Company.

Everything you need to know about securing an Arkansas oversized permit

M The Permit Company 2020 03 21

Arkansas is home to six national park sites, 2.5 million acres of national forests, seven national scenic byways, three state scenic byways and 50 state parks. But to drive an oversized load through The Natural State, you’ll need to secure an Arkansas oversized permit.

At The Permit Company, we help you obtain oversize and overweight truck permits by working directly with state and local agencies on your behalf. If you have any questions about moving oversized loads through Arkansas or securing a permit, we have the answers.

 

1. How long are oversize permits valid for in Arkansas? 

Oversize permits are valid for three days.

 

What are the legal dimensions for loads in Arkansas? 

The legal limits in Arkansas are as follows:

  • Gross weight: 80,000 lbs.*
  • Width: 8’6” on all roads
  • Height: 13’6” on all roads
  • Length: 45’ for single units and buses on all roads; 53’6” for semi-trailers on all roads, 28’ for twins and doubles on all roads (semi-trailers or trailers 28’6″ in length, that were in lawful use on or before December 1, 1982, are allowed); 65’ for autotransporters on all roads; 75’ for stinger steered on all roads; Rocky Mountain doubles, turnpike doubles and triples not allowed on any roads; and 90’ for saddle mounts (power unit and three saddle mounts) on all roads.

Federal Bridge Formula applies.

 

3. What are the permit limits for loads in Arkansas?

The routine-issue permit limits in Arkansas are as follows:

  • Weight
    • Steering axle: 12,000 lbs.
      • Single: 20,000 lbs.
      • Tandem: 34,000 lbs.
    • Load-carrying axle*:
      • Single: 20,000 lbs.
      • Tandem: 46,000 lbs.
      • Tridem: 60,000 lbs.
      • Quad: 68,000 lbs.

*No additional weight for trunnions.

  • Length: No set maximums
  • Width: 20’, 16’ on interstate system. A maximum overall width of 24′ may be allowed for short moves only in cases of an emergency.
  • Height: 17′. If the overall height exceeds 17′, the move must be accompanied by public utilities personnel.

If load exceeds any of these dimensions or weights, refer to the section on superloads.

 

4. Is continuous travel allowed for oversize permits in Arkansas?

Normally, permits are only valid during daylight hours as established by the U.S. Weather Bureau. Permits may be issued for the movement of overweight vehicles on Arkansas highways on holidays and during the night when all dimensions are legal. Loads not exceeding 90′ long may travel 24 hours a day, 7 days a week. Loads that are only overweight may travel 24 hours a day.

Permits may be issued for movement of loads on Arkansas highways on Saturday and Sunday, unless it’s a holiday weekend. Mobile homes are prohibited from moving on Sundays.

Travel is restricted on the following holidays: New Year’s Day, Memorial Day, Independence Day, Labor Day, Thanksgiving and Christmas Day.

 

5. When are escorts needed in Arkansas?

On two-lane highways:

  • 1 front escort is needed for widths 12’-14’
  • 1 front and 1 rear escort (2 total) needed for widths more than 14’
  • 1 escort with height pole is needed for heights of 15’-16’
  • 1 escort with height pole (as stated on permit) and special approval is needed for heights more than 16’
  • 1 public utility escort is needed for heights more than 17’
  • 1 front and 1 rear escort (2 total) with height pole needed for vehicles more than 12’ wide and 13’6” high
  • 1 front escort is needed for lengths 100’-130’
  • 1 front and 1 rear escort (2 total) needed for lengths 130’ or more

On four-lane or interstate highways:

  • 1 rear escort is needed for widths more than 14’
  • 1 front escort with height pole is needed for heights of 15’-16’
  • 1 escort with height pole (as stated on permit) and special approval is needed for heights more than 16’
  • 1 public utility escort is needed for heights more than 17’
  • 1 front and 1 rear escort (2 total) with height pole needed for vehicles more than 12’ wide and 15’ high
  • 1 rear escort is needed for lengths 100’-130’
  • 1 front and 1 rear escort (2 total) needed for lengths 130’ or more

NOTE: The maximum width for highway movement is usually 20’ (based on routes, distance and traffic volume or type).

NOTE: Height poles should be run at 6” above load height on all highways.

Mobile homes

  • 1 escort is needed for widths up to 14’ on certain highways near the Little Rock area and on two-lane highways
  • No escorts are needed for widths up to 14’ on interstate or fully controlled access facilities.
  • 1 or 2 escorts are needed for widths more than 14’ depending on the route

 

6. What is a superload in Arkansas?

Any vehicles more than 16’6” wide, 100′ long, 15’6″ high or weighing more than 180,000 lbs. are considered superloads. Three copies of the applications for extra heavy load permits must be submitted along with a detailed sketch of vehicles including all tire sizes, the distance between axles and the overall length of the vehicle. If a load exceeds 17’ high, it must be escorted by public utilities personnel. This application should be submitted at least two days in advance of the expected move.

An additional $250 fee will be assessed on loads weighing more than 180,000 lbs.

 

If you need help in getting an oversize permit in Arkansas or have a question about permits in any other states, give us a call at (800) 359-9407 or send us an email.  

The post Everything you need to know about securing an Arkansas oversized permit appeared first on The Permit Company.

https://www.permitcompany.com/news/everything-you-need-to-know-about-securing-an-arkansas-oversized-permit/

Colorado trucking company to cease operations after 39 years, employees say

Family-owned H.H. Williams Trucking of Greeley, Colorado, told employees on Thursday it will close its doors by the end of January.

Colorado trucking company to cease operations after 39 years, employees say

Clarissa Hawes FreightWaves 2020 01 16

Family-owned H.H. Williams Trucking of Greeley, Colorado, told employees on Thursday it will close its doors by the end of January.

An employee of H.H. Williams told FreightWaves that one of the company’s owners, Howard Williams, told office personnel on Thursday that he and his wife, Cheryl, both in their 70s, have decided to retire.

“I think we were all surprised and stunned by the news,” the employee, who didn’t want to be named, told FreightWaves. “He gave no other explanation other than he is retiring and the company will start winding down business operations.”

Howard Williams did not respond to FreightWaves’ telephone calls seeking comment.

Rumors started swirling on social media on Wednesday that the company was closing its doors, but it was news to the small fleet’s employees and drivers until mid-morning Thursday, the employee said.

Since early Thursday morning, a dispatcher has been fielding phone calls from concerned brokers about the company’s possible closure. He will stay on until the end of the month to ensure all of the trucks are back in the yard. 

Other employees have not been given a date as to when their employment will end.

The 39-year-old company, known for its green and white Mack trucks, has 23 trucks and drivers, according to the Federal Motor Carrier Safety Administration’s SAFER website.

“The owner told us that we still have trucks and equipment out on the road so it will take us until the end of the month to get everybody in and collect the keys,” the employee said.

The company had a dedicated account with Walmart for over 34 years, hauling drop and hook freight to stores in Colorado, Wyoming, the Dakotas and Montana, according to H.H. Williams’ website.

The website also stated that it had a reefer division with loads going to the West Coast and the Northwest.

This is a developing story.

Read more articles by FreightWaves’ Clarissa Hawes

https://www.freightwaves.com/news/colorado-trucking-company-to-cease-operations-after-39-years-employees-say

What is Total Cost Per Mile for truckload carriers?

Chris Henry runs fleet profitability benchmarking and analytics for FreightWaves and facilitates the TCA’s TPP program. If you are interested in benchmarking your fleet’s performance with the best operators, join TCA’s TPP. The data presented in this article come from analytics of over 230 truckload for-hire fleets, representing more than 70,000 trucks.  A wise trucker …

What is Total Cost Per Mile for truckload carriers?

Chris Henry FreightWaves 2020 01 13

Chris Henry runs fleet profitability benchmarking and analytics for FreightWaves and facilitates the TCA’s TPP program. If you are interested in benchmarking your fleet’s performance with the best operators, join TCA’s TPP.

The data presented in this article come from analytics of over 230 truckload for-hire fleets, representing more than 70,000 trucks. 

A wise trucker once said, “The only way to make money in trucking is to not spend it.” Truer words have never been spoken. This business is a game of razor-thin margins, and an infinite (and growing) number of risks and curveballs. This article is the first of two that will: 1) breakdown the cost components of operating a truck (and a trucking company); and 2) establish a financial framework for improved margins and bottom lines.

It’s very difficult for trucking companies to achieve higher than average rates per mile, per hour and per week. Due to low barriers to market entry, fleets and operators of all sizes are able to add capacity very easily to the market. As a result, shippers benefit from these hyper-competitive effects with rates that don’t typically capture the expense realities of trucking. 

Source: FreightWaves SONAR – NETREV.VCFOO, NETREV.RCFOO, NETREV.FCFOO

Total operating expenses in trucking (excluding very specialized operating models), range from extremes of $1.16 to $3.05 per mile when you simply take the best and worst from each of the categories below. Realistically, no trucking company could achieve an average total operating cost per total mile of $1.16, nor would they survive at $3.05 per mile. However, this article will illustrate the wide variances, and opportunity costs that operators realize on a day-to-day basis.

As the main pricing mechanism for trucking is the mile, it is important that industry participants understand their expenses relative to the miles generated by their trucks in a given week or month. Doing so provides an easier methodology to match  operating expenses with pricing decisions. 

Source: FreightWaves SONAR – MILTR.VCFOO, MILTR.RCFOO, MILTR.FCFOO

Total operating cost per mile summary table

According to the Truckload Carrier Association’s TPP fleet data (available to TPP members and SONAR subscribers), a for-hire truckload carrier will average between 1,700-1,900 miles per truck per week throughout the year, except for December. 

Average operating expenses for a carrier on a per mile basis: 

Expense Category Low Range High Range
Driver Compensation $0.48 per Mile $0.83 per Mile
Fuel  $0.40 per Mile $0.55 per Mile
Equipment Financing $0.00 per Mile $0.40 per Mile
Maintenance  $0.09 per Mile $0.40 per Mile
Insurance  $0.06 per Mile $0.18 per Mile
Variable Driving Expenses $0.01 per Mile $0.09 per Mile
Non-Driver Compensation $0.06 per Mile $0.30 per Mile
Fixed Overhead $0.06 per Mile $0.30 per Mile

Source: Truckload Carriers Association TPP Program for all carriers in the program. Data is available in SONAR. 

Driver compensation ($0.48-$0.83 per mile)

A disclaimer for independent contractors (ICs), driving labor does not equal ‘profit.’ The most successful ICs pay themselves a market wage in addition to projected profit. Whether the amount is actually ‘paid out’ as wages is another issue unique to the personal tax situation, and state/provincial residency of each IC.  Driving labor expense is the single largest expense for trucking companies. Depending on the geographic region, operating mode and length of haul, the combination of driving compensation, benefits and payroll taxes ranges from 28% to 50% of revenue. Industry averages for total driving labor expense per mile range from $0.49 to $0.83 ($0.67 per mile on average). This amount includes base wages, incentive compensation, per diem, accessorial pay, workers comp, health insurance and retirement benefits.

Recruiting and keeping drivers remains a difficult task for carriers, but several experts said that a strong social media approach improves both tasks. ( Photo: Jim Allen/FreightWaves )

Fuel ($0.40-$0.55 per mile)

Fuel represents the second-largest variable operating expense for any company or owner-operator. However, the difference between a top and bottom performer in trucking is directly correlated to the ‘net fuel expense’ calculation. Net fuel expense is simply the sum of gross fuel receipts, including taxes and additives minus fuel surcharge generated for the same time period. Top-performing trucking companies and ICs focus on some of these items and practices to reduce the gross fuel spend:

  1. Reducing speed and idle time, and maintaining proper shifting patterns
  2. Implementing fuel-saving technologies, equipment and practices (e.g. APUs, truck and trailer fairings, etc.)
  3. Reduce empty miles (unless it is more advantageous from a margin/yield perspective)
  4. Maximize ‘in network’ fuel spend. This one occurs when economies of scale really take hold, as fuel discounts are directly related to the volume of fuel purchased – the more fuel purchased, the lower the net fuel per gallon/litre.

Typically, gross fuel expense averages between $0.40-$0.55 per mile. However, when you factor in fuel surcharge and some or all the practices above, the net fuel spend can be dramatically less. Some trucking companies go further than most, utilizing financial instruments to ‘hedge’ their fuel expense from changes in the cost of diesel.

Trucks loading up on diesel. (Photo credit: Jim Allen/FreightWaves)

Equipment financing expense ($0.00-$0.40 per mile)

To be a trucker, you need a truck. Being mechanically inclined provides a distinct advantage for independent contractors and fleets alike. Being able to properly maintain equipment allows ICs and trucking companies to extend the average age of their trucks, and thereby reduce the large expense related to financing both trucks and trailers. In recent years, tax law changes have permitted accelerated capital equipment depreciation rates, meaning if a trucking company still owes money on its trucks and trailers, it is likely able to net more dollars after tax than before these changes. In recent years, fleets have reduced the average age of trucks to 2.3 years (on average). This trend is based on a growing school of thought that younger equipment reduces total tractor lifecycle expense (although this may be debatable based on original equipment manufacturer, specifications and operating conditions). In addition to traditional note financing, fleets and ICs alike have standard lease options available to them, along with Fair Market and Full-Service leases (the former taking care of the majority of maintenance expenses for a premium charge). As a percentage of revenue, due to the wide variety of financing strategies implemented by fleets and ICs, the cost of financing trucks and trailers ranges from 0%-30%.

Maintenance ($0.09-$0.40 per mile)

Based on my observations of over 200 trucking companies throughout North America, maintenance represents the largest margin opportunity for most companies. To be clear, maintenance expenses should capture all labor, parts, tires, supplies, oil, lube and fixed overhead (e.g. tools, shop rent, utilities, etc.). The difference between the top performers on maintenance and the bottom performers range from a low of $0.09 per mile to over $0.40 per mile! You read that right, that’s a $0.29 swing from top to bottom – think of the money going out the door! For many smaller fleets, especially those that do not use traditional accrual accounting, I suggest capturing the total maintenance spend over the past six months and keep rolling that average forward as each month unfolds. This reduces swings in large repairs from month to month and provides a clear picture of your maintenance expense.

Using VMRS codes can help fleets track down problems and reduce maintenance costs. (hoto credit: Shutterstock)

Insurance ($0.06-$0.18 per mile)

Insurance, for the purposes of this article and exercise, is the total cost of liability, physical damage and cargo insurance premiums and deductibles, plus the expense of any other accident-related damages. The latter item is one which sometimes gets ignored or is inappropriately categorized as a maintenance expense. In recent years the cost of insurance has been dramatically affected by the growing trend of nuclear verdicts in multiple jurisdictions and continued general accident repair expenses. This trend has led more companies and single truck operators to shoulder more of the burden of insurance themselves through higher deductibles and captive insurance arrangements. Increasing the deductible per incident (retention) also raises the risk of financial harm in the event of an accident. As such, a prudent operator should invest any insurance expense savings in practices and technologies to reduce the probability of accidents in the future, such as in-cab event recorders, collision mitigation tech and enhanced entry-level driver driving.

(Image credit: Shutterstock)

Variable driving expenses ($0.01-$0.09 per mile)

This category is the most nuanced of the expense categories, and the last of the ‘variable’ operating expenses. This group captures all the permits, tolls, fines, along with motels, lumper fees and driver orientation/screening and recruiting expenses (which can be significant depending on the size of operator/company). As such, it is a bit of a ‘catchall’ for those items that don’t fit cleanly into one of the other large buckets. Top performers keep an eye on the above items to ensure that they aren’t a symptom of inefficient dispatch (layovers), unsafe practices (fines), poor routing decisions (tolls) and bad culture (increased turnover).

Non-driver wages & benefits ($0.06-$0.30 per mile)

This is an area in which independent contractors have an advantage, as they handle all sales, administrative and operating activities themselves. However, they are very susceptible to spot market changes, and the reliance on brokers or load boards for freight. For those that seek to grow their fleet, you need to start hiring people for sales, dispatch, finance and safety roles. Depending on the operating mode (trailer type) and length of haul, a trucking company will have three to six drivers for every one non-driver. For smaller fleets, the expense of non-driving positions represents as much as 15% of revenue. As a company grows, and implements software and standard processes, the cost of non-driving activities can be reduced significantly (by 4-7% of revenue).

Fixed overhead ($0.06-$0.30 per mile)

The last of all operating expense categories is fixed overhead expense. This category will capture all rent, office supplies, software, utilities and communications expenses (among many other possible expenses). Generally speaking, from a percentage of revenue perspective, the cost associated with this category should closely approximate the cost of non-driver wages and benefits.

Truck drivers. (Photo credit: Shutterstock)

Summary

You cannot simply take the sum of the lowest values and highest values for each of the above categories to establish total operating expense per mile range for trucking. This industry has an endless number of modes and operating models, not to mention people and aptitudes. Being a top performer in one category doesn’t necessarily equate to top performance in multiple categories. However, understanding the numbers and their place in your margin equation can be the difference between survival and realizing the American (and Canadian) dream. 

https://www.freightwaves.com/news/understanding-total-operating-cost-per-mile

Morgan Stanley sees lower truck capacity, higher rates in 2020

Morgan Stanley eyeing truck capacity constraints and higher rates in 2020, potentially reaching 2018 levels or higher.

Morgan Stanley sees lower truck capacity, higher rates in 2020

Todd Maiden FreightWaves 2019 12 13

In a report to clients, financial services firm Morgan Stanley (NYSE: MS) examines potential reasons truck supply could be constrained in 2020, causing trucking rates to climb.

The firm’s transportation, retail and machinery analysts contributed to the report.

“We see five Trucking supply-side catalysts potentially constraining truck supply in 2020, similar to what the ELD mandate did in 2018. Memories of 2018 are still fresh which should help mitigate the impact but we still see risk to EPS [earnings per share] across Retail, tailwinds for Trucking (TLs) and Class 8 Trucks,” the report stated.

Capacity-constraining catalysts

The firm highlights five catalysts that could draw down truck capacity.

The first is the final electronic logging device (ELD) rule requiring carriers to convert from automatic on-board recording devices (AOBRDs), an earlier version of ELDs that provided significantly less data and the capability to alter some data, to ELDs by Tuesday, Dec. 17, 2019. The mandate is intended to provide a safer work environment for drivers, make the flow of data easier and faster and ensure the data is not compromised.

The second catalyst highlighted in the report is the precipitous increase in insurance rates. As juries in lawsuits related to catastrophic accidents have begun to award “nuclear verdicts” — those in the tens of millions of dollars — carriers have seen insurance premiums spike by 50% to more than double. Even well-capitalized, larger fleets have noted the pain from the increase in insurance rates.

The Drug & Alcohol Clearinghouse, which aims to speed the reporting of drivers’ positive drug or alcohol tests, was cited as potentially drawing down capacity as well. The clearinghouse is designed to prevent drivers from failing a pre-employment screening with one carrier then finding a job with another carrier before the positive test appears on their record. Reporting of failed tests on the federal database is required starting Jan. 6, 2020.

The International Maritime Organization (IMO) 2020 regulation, which begins Jan. 1, is aimed at significantly reducing sulphur emissions by enacting a 0.5% sulfur restriction in 2020, which is down significantly from the existing 3.5% mandate. This will require the maritime industry to use fuels with lower sulphur content. The expectation is that this will create increased demand for refined products like diesel. The range of forecasts on the impact of diesel demand is wide, with some speculating that as much as 2.5 million barrels of distillate per day would be needed to offset the high-sulfur fuel oil that the maritime industry can no longer use without installing scrubbers.

Morgan Stanley estimates that diesel prices could increase by 5-33%, placing increased financial strain on the smaller carriers, which make up the bulk of the TL industry. The thought is that many smaller operators have inadequate fuel surcharge programs in place to pass through the fuel cost increase to the shipper.

Lastly, the report cited California Assembly Bill 5, or the California AB 5 rule, as a headwind for truck capacity. The rule, which goes into effect Jan 1, 2020, is designed to limit the definition of independent contractors, requiring many of the independent owner-operators with whom carriers contract to haul loads to be reclassified as company employees. While the new bill faces legal challenges, some carriers have already begun to alter their operations in California, with some attempting to unwind their exposure to the state completely.

The Morgan Stanley report stated that the best-case scenario would provide no change to capacity in California if all owner-operators were offered and accepted employee driver positions with a company. However, it labeled this scenario “highly unlikely” and indicated independent contractor rules are a creeping concern as other states will likely begin to pursue some type of similar reform. This is already in the works in New Jersey.

Some of the trucking industry’s largest companies have also highlighted a range of headwinds to truck capacity in recent months.

Potential impact to rates and earnings

The report suggested that 2020 could provide a scenario similar to 2018 with regard to truck capacity and rates. In 2018, the year of the original mandate to ELDs from paper logs to enforce stricter adherence to hours of service rules, some truck capacity exited the industry in lieu of compliance. The firm believes that the 2018 mandate resulted in a high-single-digit to low-double-digit hit to truck capacity, causing TL spot rates to spike 30%, with contract rates moving 15-20% higher.

“2020 could potentially see a repeat of the supply-side constraints that drove truck pricing to all-time-high levels in 2018,” the report stated.

It added that these capacity headwinds could provide potential upside to TL EPS estimates “that could close the 20% gap between post-2018 EPS peaks and current trough earnings” as truck pricing moves higher. The firm estimates that the impact of all five catalysts could be bigger than what occurred in 2018. The “low case” presents a scenario in which contract rates increase 2-3% and spot rates climb 5-10% in 2020. The “medium case” calls for contract rates to increase 5-10% and spot rates to rise 20-25% next year. The “high case” predicts contract rates to rise 15-20%, with spot rates surging 35-40%.

Shanker is currently modeling low-single-digit price increases for the TLs in 2020, closer to the low case scenario that calls for spot rates to improve 5-10% in the first half of 2020 with contract rates flat to slightly negative in the first half, but up 2-3% in the second half. The report noted that this scenario results in EPS estimates that are 7-10% higher than current consensus estimates. Further, if the medium case scenario played out, earnings estimates would move at least 10% higher and more than 20% higher if the high case scenario occurred.

From the report, “we have already seen a clear bottom in the second derivative of spot/contract rates, as well as the absolute rates start to rebound, which we believe sets up the TLs well for further boosts in pricing and operating ratio (OR) if truck rates were to sharply rise next year.”

The report also highlighted a scenario wherein there would be upside to Class 8 production forecasts if capacity were culled out of the market due to these catalysts, but it didn’t offer what the impact to earnings for the original equipment manufacturers would look like. The report noted a high correlation between Class 8 truck orders and TL spot rates and stated that Class 8 orders could increase 50-100% in late 2020 to early 2021 if spot rates increased in the 20-25% range.

Class 8 Truck Orders – SONAR: ORDERS.CL8

Lastly, the report noted that the potential increase in rates to ship goods via truck presents an EPS risk (base case) of 2-3% for the retail space and as much as 4-7% downside to estimates if these capacity constraints materialize greater than expected.

Morgan Stanley conducted a survey of approximately 400 carriers, brokers and shippers to produce its expectations around these events. Of those surveyed, 65-70% expect the first three catalysts (ELDs, rising insurance costs and the Drug & Alcohol Clearinghouse) to have at least a small impact on capacity in 2020. Fifty-one percent of those polled expect an impact to capacity from IMO 2020, and 62% see an impact from the California AB 5 rule.

https://www.freightwaves.com/news/morgan-stanley-sees-lower-truck-capacity-higher-rates-in-2020

Today’s Pickup: KeepTruckin launches developer platform

Keep Trucking development platformPlus: Napa freight company hauls wine in electric truck; Spin E-scooter workers join Teamsters

Today’s Pickup: KeepTruckin launches developer platform

Linda Baker, Staff Writer FreightWaves 2019 12 13

Keep Trucking development platform

Good day,

KeepTruckin, an IoT fleet management technology company, announced the release of its modern developer platform, featuring a developer portal and driver workflow tools.

The platform gives partners, developers and customers access to the company’s APIs so they can build and utilize tailored fleet management solutions.

The developer portal features a self-service model that allows users to register, build and publish integrations. The portal will further grow KeepTruckin’s App Marketplace, featuring integrations that streamline business workflows and enable fleets to build custom management solutions. 

KeepTruckin’s Driver Workflow tool, available within the API documentation, simplifies operations by integrating with any dispatch or transportation management system (TMS).

“We are excited to continue evolving the fleet management industry and help companies of all sizes run more efficiently with our best-in-class technology solutions,” said Ryan Johns, CTO of KeepTruckin, in a statement. 

Did you know?

Carriers delivered about 80 million packages per day during the week of Cyber Monday, but Amazon, FedEx, UPS and the U.S. Postal Service each saw a drop in on-time delivery performance during the week. During the week of Cyber Monday, Amazon’s on-time performance was 93.7%, FedEx’s was 90.4%, UPS’ was 92.7% and USPS’ was 92.3%.

ShipMatrix, via Supply Chain Dive

Quotable

“I was told we were trying to turn things around. We were continuing to hire right up until the very end.”

Celadon recruiter Ernesto Gonzales, via FreightWaves

In other news

Napa freight carrier Biagi Bros. tests all-electric heavy truck to haul bottled wine

The trucking and warehousing company will run a Peterbilt 579 Class 8 truck tractor with a TransPower electric kit. (NorthbayBusinessJournal)

Spins electric scooter workers join Teamsters Local 665 

The scooter company employees are first in San Francisco to organize (PRNewswire)

Four Seattle companies make Glassdoor’s 100 Best Companies to Work for in 2020
Amazon was not on the the list. (SeattlePI)

Cannabis retailer MedMen implements Onfleet logistics software

The software will fulfill MedMen’s delivery management, including driver scheduling, routing, tracking, analytics and customer communications. (Yahoo)

Final thoughts:

The electrification of trucks and buses needs to be accelerated, according to a new report released Dec.11 by the Union of Concerned Scientists (UCS). Titled “Ready for Work: Now Is the Time for Heavy-Duty Electric Vehicles,” the report states that in addition to lowering emissions, the overall ownership costs can be cheaper than diesel. “Fuel and maintenance savings can offset the higher upfront costs of heavy-duty electric vehicles, making them cheaper than a diesel or natural gas vehicle over the life of a vehicle,” the report said.

Hammer down, everyone!

https://www.freightwaves.com/news/today

Today’s Pickup: KeepTruckin launches developer platform

Keep Trucking development platformPlus: Napa freight company hauls wine in electric truck; Spin E-scooter workers join Teamsters

Today’s Pickup: KeepTruckin launches developer platform

Linda Baker, Staff Writer 
FreightWaves 
2019 12 13

Keep Trucking development platform

Good day,

KeepTruckin, an IoT fleet management technology company, announced the release of its modern developer platform, featuring a developer portal and driver workflow tools.

The platform gives partners, developers and customers access to the company’s APIs so they can build and utilize tailored fleet management solutions.

The developer portal features a self-service model that allows users to register, build and publish integrations. The portal will further grow KeepTruckin’s App Marketplace, featuring integrations that streamline business workflows and enable fleets to build custom management solutions. 

KeepTruckin’s Driver Workflow tool, available within the API documentation, simplifies operations by integrating with any dispatch or transportation management system (TMS).

“We are excited to continue evolving the fleet management industry and help companies of all sizes run more efficiently with our best-in-class technology solutions,” said Ryan Johns, CTO of KeepTruckin, in a statement. 

Did you know?

Carriers delivered about 80 million packages per day during the week of Cyber Monday, but Amazon, FedEx, UPS and the U.S. Postal Service each saw a drop in on-time delivery performance during the week. During the week of Cyber Monday, Amazon’s on-time performance was 93.7%, FedEx’s was 90.4%, UPS’ was 92.7% and USPS’ was 92.3%.

ShipMatrix, via Supply Chain Dive

Quotable

“I was told we were trying to turn things around. We were continuing to hire right up until the very end.”

Celadon recruiter Ernesto Gonzales, via FreightWaves

In other news

Napa freight carrier Biagi Bros. tests all-electric heavy truck to haul bottled wine

The trucking and warehousing company will run a Peterbilt 579 Class 8 truck tractor with a TransPower electric kit. (NorthbayBusinessJournal)

Spins electric scooter workers join Teamsters Local 665 

The scooter company employees are first in San Francisco to organize (PRNewswire)

Four Seattle companies make Glassdoor’s 100 Best Companies to Work for in 2020
Amazon was not on the the list. (SeattlePI)

Cannabis retailer MedMen implements Onfleet logistics software

The software will fulfill MedMen’s delivery management, including driver scheduling, routing, tracking, analytics and customer communications. (Yahoo)

Final thoughts:

The electrification of trucks and buses needs to be accelerated, according to a new report released Dec.11 by the Union of Concerned Scientists (UCS). Titled “Ready for Work: Now Is the Time for Heavy-Duty Electric Vehicles,” the report states that in addition to lowering emissions, the overall ownership costs can be cheaper than diesel. “Fuel and maintenance savings can offset the higher upfront costs of heavy-duty electric vehicles, making them cheaper than a diesel or natural gas vehicle over the life of a vehicle,” the report said.

Hammer down, everyone!

https://www.freightwaves.com/news/today

Grounded no more: The logistics of aircraft maintenance

The delay of aircraft components and replacement parts can mean tens of thousands of dollars in losses for airlines waiting to make necessary repairs, which is why so many turn to specialized logistics providers.

Grounded no more: The logistics of aircraft maintenance

Brian Straight FreightWaves 2019 12 10

Moving
aircraft from one location to another seems simple enough, but what if you have
six of them and have been contracted to relocate each without flying them, or
dismantling them for transport? And you have to do it safely and through a
Mideast country known for terrorist activity?

That is the situation staff members
of AIT Worldwide Logistics found themselves in a few years ago when a
U.S.-based industrial conglomerate hired the firm to transport six single-engine
aircraft from Afghanistan to Wichita, Kansas.

“That program that we executed from
Afghanistan to Wichita was one heck of an accomplishment,” Bob McGhee, director
of government and aerospace operations for AIT Worldwide Logistics, told FreightWaves. “We were ahead of schedule; we were under
budget; and we exceeded the customer’s expectations from day one.”

To complete the job, AIT tapped
into its network of providers, locating a Mideast-based service provider that
could secure an Antonov – the world’s largest cargo aircraft. With the airplane
secured, AIT moved to the routing portion of the job, with several options and
their associated risks, including political, climatological and security,
assessed and presented to the customer.

AIT Worldwide Logistics specializes in logistics for global businesses, including the airline industries. These moves can include everything from single components to entire aircraft, as this photo showed. AIT commissioned an Antonov, the world’s largest cargo aircraft, to transport six single-engine aircraft from Afghanistan to Wichita, Kansas, without dismantling the bodies of the plane. (Photo: AIT Worldwide Logistics)

“Multiple challenges conspired to
add complexity to the project with a high risk for skyrocketing costs,” AIT
explained. “The customer wanted to avoid dismantling the aircraft for shipping,
which left very few equipment options. Flying out of Afghanistan is inherently
dangerous, as is navigating the airspace in the region. Minimizing flyover
permits and royalties would prove to be tricky at best.”

The customer picked a safer route
that would be more expensive due to required royalties and flyover permits. AIT
said its negotiators worked with local officials and eliminated or minimized
certain costs to hold down expenses.

Every aspect of this move was
meticulously planned and involved daily conference calls, McGhee said. The
planes were loaded side by side into the Antonov and successfully delivered to
Wichita.

Relocating a plane is but one of
the services that specialized logistics providers fill for airlines and
industrial customers.

Expedited parts delivery service

While airlines can’t do much about
the weather that results in flight delays, they do have control over
maintenance. Maintenance delays, which lead to something called aircraft on
ground, or AOG, have a ripple effect throughout an airline’s network. Late
planes lead to unhappy customers, missed connections and planes out of position
for the next day’s flights.

According to Airspace Technologies,
a logistics firm specializing in the movement of aircraft parts, an AOG can
cost an airline up to $150,000 per hour. The National Center of Excellence for
Aviation Operations Research, in a 2010 study conducted jointly with the
Federal Aviation Administration, said that flight delays cost airlines $31
billion in 2007.

When an aircraft needs a part, the
logistics machine shifts into motion.

Airbus uses barges to transport large components such as this wing section on the Garonne River in France to Toulouse, where final assembly of planes is conducted. (Photo: Airbus)

“There are frequently planned
operations – that is the perfect world for us – but the
vast majority of our aerospace business, whether it’s military or commercial is
on an emergency basis, or in an AOG [situation],” McGhee explained.

AIT is a non-asset-based global
logistics business offering services in air cargo, sea freight, customs, ground
distribution, intermodal and warehouse management. Its aerospace logistics
business is staffed 24 hours a day, 365 days a year with certified
professionals whose job is to get aircraft parts, and sometimes entire
airplanes, to their destination quickly.

“It’s a very fast-paced market and it’s a very high-demand market for getting accurate information,” McGhee said. “We have a 30-minute window to honor all requests and a 90-minute window to [deliver] a transportation plan.”

All team members staffing its
“control tower” are military-certified so they can handle both civilian and
military requests. When an AOG happens, the AIT team moves into action. “There
is no canned response to these things,” Ken Jones, director of government and
aerospace sales for AIT, explained, as each move is unique.

The transport of intact aircraft engines can sometimes be done on in the cargo holds of commercial aircraft. But aircraft often can’t reach manufacturing facilities, requiring the use of trucks for final transport, as AIT Worldwide Logistics did with this Rolls-Royce Trent 800 engine. (Photo: AIT Worldwide Logistics)

How the replacement part is
transported depends on a lot of variables, including what it is, where it is
and where it is going. Some parts can move on commercial aircraft, while others
require a more specialized approach. Take an engine, for instance. According to
McGhee, some aircraft engines can fit in the cargo hold of a narrow-body
aircraft, making a commercial flight a possibility.

“It is very complex when you take
into consideration the size of the engine and the origin/destination plans,” he
said. “That is where the challenges are and where our subject matter expertise
comes into play.”

Customer-focused solutions

Because AIT services are “door to
door,” getting the part on an airplane is only half the battle. “There are
challenges when you have an airplane sitting in a secondary market that [larger
aircraft are] challenged to get into,” McGhee said. If a larger airport is
needed, then truck transportation becomes a requirement. “Having proper
partners … enables us to do that.”

Smaller aircraft parts are a bit easier,
and many actually fly on commercial aircraft. In some cases, they may fly on
UPS or FedEx cargo planes, but McGhee said the flexibility of commercial
aircraft is preferred.

“Nine times out of 10, we’re moving
that small part… on a commercial passenger airplane and the reason we’re doing
that is the scheduling is much more flexible,” he said.

Even when parts move on a UPS or
FedEx plane, AIT handles the “last mile,” preferring to maintain control of the
part to its final destination.

In some cases, a small part may
require a personalized approach. time:matters, a global spare parts logistics
business, told the story of a hand delivery in South Africa using its airmates technology
platform. In the case study, a PRIMUS Aero-managed aircraft was grounded in
South Africa, in need of a control unit.

“The missing control unit was in
the USA, however, not just around the corner from South Africa,” the company
noted. Booked through the airmates platform with the “On Board Courier” option,
the part was quickly located in Addison, Texas. A Texas-based courier picked up
the part and hopped a commercial aircraft to Atlanta and ultimately to Lanseria
International Airport in Johannesburg, South Africa, arriving with the part 25
hours after the first request arrived in the time:matters system.

Customs can delay spare part
delivery, although McGhee said AIT works with its local partners to ensure all
paperwork is filled out so delays are eliminated.

“There’s an extensive amount of
data out there that we have to juggle, but we work very closely on the U.S.
customs side [and destination countries to process this],” he said.

Jones added that AIT once had a
delay delivering a part because the grounded aircraft was sitting in a country
that had closed customs while it inaugurated a new king. Generally, though,
delays on the commercial side are minimal while military shipments can get hung
up due to political considerations – which countries’ parts can be flown over
or into, for instance.

The Airbus Beluga – technically an A300-600ST Super Transporter – is a customized aircraft designed by Airbus for its own supply chain. The Beluga is used to transport large aircraft parts to facilities throughout Europe. (Photo: Airbus)

Custom logistics networks

While companies such as AIT,
time:matters and Airspace Technologies provide customized services for
airlines, airplane manufacturers have developed their own networks. Airbus explained in detail on its website how it handles the movement of parts to final
assembly locations.

Utilizing five A300-600ST Super
Transporters nicknamed Beluga, Airbus Transport International moves complete
fuselage sections and wings from production plants throughout Europe to assembly
plants in Toulouse, France, and Hamburg, Germany.

In the case of parts for the A380
aircraft assembled in Toulouse, the Beluga – which are modified planes with
bulbous main deck cargo cabins – represents just one part of the journey.
Trucks and even watercraft are involved in the trip. Production sites
throughout France, Germany, Spain and the U.K. send completed sections of the
A380 to Bordeaux, France, where these large fuselage sections are loaded onto
waiting barges that travel the Garonne River to Toulouse.

Specialized equipment and training

When it comes to transporting
aircraft engines, the companies that handle these jobs have high standards.
International Machine Transport USA, with offices in Blaine, Washington, and
Dallas, Texas, has transported more than 12,000 engines throughout North America.
It requires all its drivers to attend classroom theory, complete field training
including the loading and securing of jet engines and pass a final exam with a
perfect score.

The company also handles helicopter
transport and more and works with a trailer designer to create custom trailers
for specific industries. Fitted tarps and protective padding are standard
elements to transport engines and other parts.

Skylink, which provides over 250,000 different line items for
distribution to airlines around the world, offers five “must dos” when moving
aircraft engines. They are:

1.       Secure the
engine on a quality engine stand

2.       Invest in
good tarps and tarp the engine multiple times

3.       Strap the engine
by the bottom of the engine stand

4.       When
traveling on a trailer, use an air ride trailer for a softer ride

5.       Work with a
trusted partner.

For airlines looking to minimize
AOG, companies like Airspace Technologies and AIT are the backbone of the
maintenance operation, but even those companies require help.

“We are a non-asset based
organization so everything we do is based on our relationships with our service
providers,” McGhee said. “We have very high standards [and global standards that
partners must meet]. The partners we work with have been developed with people
like myself and Ken and other leaders within AIT that have 30- and 40-plus
years of experience working with international partners and know who are the
most reliable to work with. There are companies that are very strong on
regional basis in various parts of the world that we have aligned ourselves
with and that have the same core values as we do.”

Even in the fast-paced world of
on-demand aircraft parts delivery, it still comes back to relationships.

https://www.freightwaves.com/news/grounded-no-more-the-logistics-of-aircraft-maintenance

Butter in tow, Plus.ai completes cross-country commercial freight run

The self-driving truck startup hauled tubs of Land O’Lakes butter from Tulare, California, to Quakertown, Pennsylvania.

Butter in tow, Plus.ai completes cross-country commercial freight run

Linda Baker, Staff Writer 
FreightWaves 
2019 12 10

Hauling tubs of Land O’Lakes butter, Plus.ai has completed what the autonomous trucking company claims is the first cross-country Level 4 commercial pilot.

The trip took place the week before Thanksgiving, Shawn Kerrigan, COO and co-founder of Plus.ai, said in an email to FreightWaves.

“There were zero disengagements,” Kerrigan said. “Beyond federally mandated breaks and refueling, our autonomous truck was running consistently on autonomous mode.”

A safety driver was behind the wheel at all times for the 2,800- mile  hub-to-hub stretch, which extended from Tulare, California, to Quakertown, Pennsylvania. The trip lasted less than three days, traversing Interstate 15 and Interstate 70 and passing through varied terrain and weather conditions.

The Land O’Lakes haul demonstrates the “safety, efficiency and maturity of our autonomous trucks,” Kerrigan said in a news release about the trip posted on Dec. 10. Those trucks are already delivering freight for other partners several days a week, he added, and continued advances will make it possible for similar cross-country trips to become the norm in the future.

End-of-year shipments are a busy time for Land O’Lakes, said Yone Dewberry, the company’s chief supply chain officer, in the release. “To be able to address this peak demand with a fuel- and cost-effective freight transport solution will be tremendously valuable to our business.”

The vehicle carrying the Land O’Lakes shipment was equipped with Plus.ai’s advanced autonomous driving system, which utilizes multimodal sensor fusion, deep learning visual algorithms and simultaneous location and mapping (SLAM) technologies.

The truck navigated driving day and night, across the Rockies, road construction, miles-long tunnels, elevations over 11,000 feet, and along rainy and snowy roads.

Founded in 2016 by a group of Stanford classmates, Plus.ai is one of a handful of trucking startups seeking to automate the long-haul. The company has operations in California and China and has been testing vehicles in both countries.

Plus.ai’s cross-country haul comes a few months after the company announced a joint venture with FAW Jiefang, China’s largest truck manufacturer, to develop self-driving big rigs for the world’s most populous country.

The new venture is launching its first product, the FAW J7 Level Two truck, with plans to bring a full Level Four heavy-duty truck to market in three to five years.

In addition to its business relationship with FAW, Plus.ai claims as a partner Softbank- and Google-backed FullTruck Alliance, a Chinese freight-matching platform that controls 80% of the country’s trucking market.

https://www.freightwaves.com/news/plusai-completes-cross-country-run

FreightWaves creates free job board to help impacted Celadon employees (with video)

The sudden closure of Celadon has left thousands of lives impacted. To help those employees find work, FreightWaves has created a free job board where employees can post resumes and recruiters and fleets can post jobs.

FreightWaves creates free job board to help impacted Celadon employees (with video)

FreightWaves Staff FreightWaves 2019 12 10

In light of the Celadon shutdown, we have established a free
job board for companies to post jobs and for employees looking for employment
in the freight industry to post resumes. Celadon office employees are left
without health benefits and accrued PTO, making this holiday season more
stressful. There is no cost for anyone to participate.

Trucking and logistics employers – if you are looking for
employees with tribal knowledge of trucking, the pool of applicants coming from
Celadon is deep. 

The job and career board is focused on logistics talent,
ranging from freight brokerage professionals, customer service, load planners,
dispatchers, sales, recruiters, and drivers. The goal is to have a central spot
for recruiters, companies, and applicants to come together that doesn’t cost
anything to participate. 

“The tragedy of Celadon is impacting so many people across
the industry. FreightWaves is a part of driving transparency and connectedness
in the freight community and we wanted to expand that to connecting the great
talent with prospective employers. Families are being impacted by the sudden
closure of one of the trucking industry’s greatest franchises and the timing
around the holidays is even more unfortunate,” Craig Fuller, CEO of
FreightWaves stated. 

To search for logistics jobs, post new opportunities, or post a resume visit: FreightWaves.Careers.

https://www.freightwaves.com/news/freightwaves-creates-free-job-board-to-help-impacted-celadon-employees